Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.060038 0.067988 0.076114 0.085009 0.094442 0.104122 0.114777
2025-09-07 0.047646 0.059331 0.071848 0.086118 0.101809 0.118423 0.137236
2025-09-14 0.039927 0.053943 0.069553 0.087917 0.108650 0.131090 0.156984
2025-09-21 0.035358 0.051219 0.069463 0.091462 0.116797 0.144660 0.177241
2025-09-28 0.030543 0.047522 0.067686 0.092577 0.121770 0.154333 0.192856
2025-10-05 0.029701 0.048469 0.071226 0.099732 0.133539 0.171569 0.216866
2025-10-12 0.025254 0.044364 0.068275 0.098873 0.135736 0.177693 0.228135
2025-10-19 0.022567 0.042269 0.067583 0.100542 0.140743 0.186919 0.242827
2025-10-26 0.019729 0.039666 0.066024 0.100962 0.144116 0.194131 0.255108
2025-11-02 0.017698 0.037987 0.065504 0.102550 0.148794 0.202793 0.269004
2025-11-09 0.015410 0.035685 0.063990 0.102744 0.151669 0.209249 0.280269
2025-11-16 0.012453 0.032004 0.060360 0.100024 0.150797 0.211125 0.286059
2025-11-23 0.009829 0.028590 0.057004 0.097675 0.150498 0.213876 0.293165
2025-11-30 0.008446 0.027103 0.056301 0.098795 0.154553 0.221907 0.306579
2025-12-07 0.007423 0.026112 0.056239 0.100721 0.159597 0.231120 0.321399
2025-12-14 0.006941 0.026082 0.057577 0.104534 0.167044 0.243264 0.339727
2025-12-21 0.005952 0.024886 0.057057 0.105733 0.171090 0.251219 0.353023
2025-12-28 0.006369 0.026673 0.061186 0.113417 0.183555 0.269554 0.378819
2026-01-04 0.005091 0.024618 0.059203 0.112496 0.184801 0.274032 0.387923
2026-01-11 0.004443 0.023840 0.059179 0.114285 0.189551 0.282822 0.402215
2026-01-18 0.003657 0.022558 0.058253 0.114736 0.192505 0.289359 0.413763
2026-01-25 0.003145 0.021851 0.058223 0.116438 0.197089 0.297912 0.427751
2026-02-01 0.002504 0.020604 0.057201 0.116646 0.199650 0.303908 0.438608